Sensex Soars 600 Points, Nifty Nears 25,000 on Global Optimism and India-US Trade Buzz

Mumbai | June 17, 2025

India’s stock markets kicked off the week on a bullish note, with the Sensex rallying 557 points to close at 81,675.84 and the Nifty 50 jumping 184 points to settle at 24,902.65. The upbeat mood was fueled by strong global cues, declining volatility, and hopeful progress in the India-US trade deal.

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📈 Market Snapshot SENSEX

• Sensex: ▲ 557 pts | 81,675.84 (+0.69%)
• Nifty 50: ▲ 184 pts | 24,902.65 (+0.74%)

Leading the rally were SBI Life Insurance, ONGC, Hero MotoCorp, HDFC Life, and Cipla, all gaining up to 3%.

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Dalal Street Week Ahead: Israel-Iran Conflict, US Fed Meeting Among Key Market Triggers

🌏 Global Cues Spark Optimism

Asian indices painted a largely positive picture:

• Japan’s Nikkei 225, South Korea’s Kospi, and China’s SSE Composite all logged solid gains.
• Though Hong Kong’s Hang Seng struggled, sentiment across Asia remained upbeat.
• Wall Street futures also pointed to resilience, supporting momentum.

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📉 India VIX Eases, Risk Appetite Improves

The India VIX, a key barometer of market volatility, dropped 1.84% to 14.80, indicating reduced investor anxiety. This calming of market (Sensex) nerves encouraged broader participation in equities.

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🤝 India-US Trade Talks: A Confidence Booster

Reports suggest that India and the United States are on the brink of finalising a bilateral trade agreement, with a possible announcement expected by July 8. Investors see the deal as a potential game-changer for exports, FDI, and market liberalisation.

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🏛️ Central Bank Watch: Fed & BoJ Meetings Loom

Markets are eyeing key central bank meetings this week:

• The US Federal Reserve is set to meet on June 18. While no rate change is expected, Jerome Powell’s remarks will guide investor expectations.
• The Bank of Japan meets on June 17 and is likely to keep rates steady amid global economic uncertainty.

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💰 Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)

Despite today’s rally, FIIs continued to offload Indian equities, selling ₹1,263.52 crore on Friday. However, strong domestic inflows are currently balancing the outflow.

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🛢️ Crude Oil Watch

Brent crude prices climbed 0.73% to $74.77 per barrel, posing inflation risks and adding pressure on the rupee. Analysts warn that prolonged spikes could squeeze margins across sectors.

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🔍 Technical Outlook of Sensex

Analysts predict:

• Nifty resistance at 24,832–24,888
• If breached, the index may test 25,100
• If not, expect consolidation around 24,500, with downside risk to 24,060

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🧠 Final Take

India’s stock markets are responding positively to global recovery hopes, softening volatility, and trade optimism. While caution prevails ahead of Fed and BoJ outcomes, the path remains upbeat for long-term investors, especially if the India-US deal materialises.

Always consider your risk appetite, conduct thorough research, and consult a certified financial advisor before making investment choices. Short-term gains should not overshadow long-term financial goals and portfolio diversification strategies.

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